西西河里面对地震糖尿病争论的很厉害,其中一位北辰网友引用台湾的一项研究,摘要可在文后找到,这个似乎是一个地震能够导致糖尿病的证据。
仔细阅读了摘要,很遗憾无法看到全文,或者是整个资料,所以很多话是推测。这项研究的方法是观察震前和震后到医院门诊看慢性病的就诊人数,地震后就诊人数增加了,新诊断糖尿病和高血压的人数也增加了,所以作者得出的结论说地震增加了糖尿病的患病人数。
其实作者是很难下这样的结论的,因为高血压和糖尿病的患病率很高,台湾的糖尿病患病率大约在7%左右(印象中的数据),每次只要在从来没有查过血糖的人群中检查血糖,都能发现很多新糖尿病人,就是说糖尿病存在着大量的未被诊断的人群,所以新发现的糖尿病人数很大的可能是源自到门诊看病人数的增加上,就是说如果作者做一些统计学计算,把就诊人次增加这个因素排除出去,看是否还能得出这个结论。
地震后因为伤亡的情况,对人心理的冲击很大,从就诊人数增加这个数据看,人们更加关注自己的健康,对人生观也能产生很多影响,记得上大学的时候,能明显感觉到很多来自唐山经历过地震同学的不同,这个不同很难说的清楚。而糖尿病,只要人们开始关注,到门诊看病检查增多,发现新病例就增多了,这个不能说是地震引发的。
所以,个人观点,地震糖尿病这个概念,在没有得到令人信服的数据前,是不存在的。
THE EFFECTS OF THE 921 TAIWAN EARTHQUAKE ON MOBILITY AMONG PUBLIC EMPLOYEES IN THE DISASTER AREA: ISEE-268.
ABSTRACTShttp://www.cchere.net/article/1636243.html
Epidemiology. 14(5) Supplement:S52, September 2003.
Chang, T Y (1); Ou Yang, Y C; Hsiao, Y Y; Chan, C C
Abstract:http://www.cchere.net/article/1636243.html
Introduction: On September 21, 1999, a powerful earthquake of magnitude 7.3 on the Richter scale struck central Taiwan and caused a total of 2,347 deaths. From the scale and the degree of damage, it is believed to be the worst earthquake in 20th century Taiwan. Past studies related to earthquakes discussed the immediate effects on the mortality and causes of deaths, but rare studies emphasized the prolong effects on the mobility. One cohort study presented the increasing numbers of incident cases of hypertension, heart disease, arthritis, and diabetes within the first 6 months, however, without the pre-earthquake clinical diagnosis or medical records, the relationship between the new cases of chronic diseases occurrence and the earthquake inducement was unknown. With the completely National Health Insurance (NHI) system in Taiwan, the purpose of this study was to describe the prevalent pattern of chronic diseases and to clarify the different mobility between the pre-earthquake and the post-earthquake in the 921 Taiwan Earthquake.
Methods: We carried out two sets of questionnaire survey to collect individual information related to damage of this earthquake and personal life style between 2002 and 2003. 3,637 persons comprised public employees and their family members were voluntary to supply personal identity numbers to link the NHI system for individual outpatient enrollment analysis. The data from March 21, 1999, through March 20, 2001 were obtained from the Bureau of NHI. According to the occurrence of the 921 Taiwan Earthquake, the outpatient data of this population was divided to pre-earthquake and post-earthquake time-periods with every 6 months. The trends of outpatient frequency and outpatient number of all diseases and specific chronic diseases were determined and the incident cases were observed during the two years.
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Results: We observed that the total outpatient frequencies of all diseases in this population increased from 20,411 times in the half-year pre-earthquake to 23,103 times in the one-year post-earthquake and slightly decrease to 21,401 times in the 1.5-year post-earthquake. Male had higher outpatient frequencies than female and both gender had the same trend as the total of all diseases. In the outpatient numbers of all diseases, however, total outpatient numbers continued to increase from 2,677 persons in the pre-earthquake to 2,773 persons in the post-earthquake. The most age group to use healthcare service was 40-49 years old. Our findings presented rising trends in the prevalent rates of diabetes mellitus (ICD-9: 250) and hypertensive disease (ICD-9: 401-405) after this earthquake, but the prevalent rate of ischaemic heart disease (ICD-9: 410-414) reduced at the first 6 months and then increased in the post-earthquake. We also observed the numbers of incident cases on bronchitis, emphysema and asthma (ICD-9: 490-493) were more than other chronic diseases after this earthquake.
Conclusions: We concluded the prevalent patterns of chronic diseases on public employees and their family members were affected by the 921 Taiwan Earthquake, and the long-term effects of this earthquake on respiratory system would be more study in the future.
http://www.cchere.net/article/1636243.html
(C) 2003 Lippincott Williams & Wilkins, Inc.
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